OTB with the 55 I could see that it was very close since if I play safe I have some lousy rolls next turn...but since I haven't rolled one yet, I played safe.
         
    
          
 |  is rayal1
score: 9
pip: 110 | | 11 point match | pip: 77
score: 9
 is neilkaz |
|
| XGID=aABD-BDb-----B---b-c--cbb-:1:-1:1:55:9:9:0:11:10 |
| to play 55 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/8(2) 6/1(2) | eq: +0.850 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 92.48% (G:32.55% B:0.07%)
7.52% (G:0.23% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.848...+0.852)
Duration: 1 minute 06 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/8 13/3 6/1 | eq: +0.846 (-0.003) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 92.31% (G:32.95% B:0.07%)
7.69% (G:0.16% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.844...+0.848)
Duration: 1 minute 03 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11, MET: GnuBG 11 point
Now I rolled 51 and doubts about my last play caused me to mess this one up. The issue with paying 3 shots is that I leave myself odd and blotprone when missed. I did blot later when trying to clear the 5 pt, but managed to escape and win.
| is rayal1
score: 9
pip: 110 | | 11 point match | pip: 57
score: 9
is neilkaz |
|
| XGID=aCBD-BBbB--------b-c--cbb-:1:-1:1:51:9:9:0:11:10 |
| to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/5 6/1 | eq: +0.828 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 91.42% (G:28.83% B:0.05%)
8.58% (G:0.42% B:0.01%) | Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.825...+0.831)
Duration: 29.5 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/2 | eq: +0.803 (-0.026) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 90.13% (G:36.39% B:0.08%)
9.87% (G:0.35% B:0.01%) | Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.800...+0.806)
Duration: 33.2 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11, MET: GnuBG 11 point