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LA vs. the MFIC #2 (XG rollout)

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Tuesday, 5 January 2010, at 6:31 a.m.

In Response To: LA vs. the MFIC #2 (Jason Lee)

is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 130
7 point match
pip: 128
score: 4

is Player 1
XGID=-a-a-BCBD-A-bB--baAbb-bb--:0:0:1:00:4:3:0:7:8
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 70.05% (G: 12.92% B: 0.92%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.95% (G: 7.19% B: 0.39%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70.25% (G: 12.48% B: 1.54%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.75% (G: 7.35% B: 0.53%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.550
Double:+1.175
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.728 (-0.002)
Double/Take:+0.730
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.270)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.007 (+0.721...+0.735)
Confidence Double: ± 0.011 (+0.719...+0.741)
Double Decision confidence: 60.3%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 5 hours 00 minute 39 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11, MET: GnuBG 11 point

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