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OTB and XG rollout

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Tuesday, 5 January 2010, at 12:59 p.m.

In Response To: Match recube? (Petter Bengtsson)

I wasn't sure if my opponent was supposed to take or drop so I recubed. He took, I hit with 53 and later on picked up two more blots and gammoned him for the match. Easy game :-)

XG and GNU evals have this as redouble and a clear take. XG rollout says it's a drop.

Considering the huge rating difference I'd say taking was correct. Not 100% sure about the recube.

	is Player 1 score: 3 pip: 88 7 point match pip: 133 score: 0 is Player 2
XGID=--ACBBB-----aB---bbgA--Bc-:1:1:1:00:0:3:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	61,68% (G: 16,23% B: 1,13%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	38,32% (G: 8,84% B: 0,83%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	62,51% (G: 17,03% B: 2,42%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	37,49% (G: 10,85% B: 0,91%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0,335
Redouble:	+1,065
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0,714 (-0,286)
Redouble/Take:	+1,063 (+0,063)
Redouble/Drop:	+1,000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84745752 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0,010 (+0,704...+0,725)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0,015 (+1,048...+1,079)
Double Decision confidence:	100,0%
Take Decision confidence:	100,0%
Duration: 2 hours 28 minutes 11 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11, MET: GnuBG 11 point

Messages In This Thread

• Match recube?
  Petter Bengtsson -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 9:13 p.m.
  • Match recube?
    Stick -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 9:24 p.m.
    • Match recube?
      Petter Bengtsson -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 9:38 p.m.
      • Match recube?
        Stick -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 9:53 p.m.
        • Match recube?
          Bob Koca -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 10:07 p.m.
          • Match recube?
            stw672 -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 11:04 p.m.
    • Match recube?
      Fabrice Liardet -- Monday, 4 January 2010, at 10:08 a.m.
  • Match recube?
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 10:44 p.m.
    • Match recube?
      Joe Russell -- Monday, 4 January 2010, at 1:05 p.m.
      • Match recube?
        Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 5 January 2010, at 12:13 p.m.
  • Match recube?
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 11:18 p.m.
  • OTB and XG rollout
    Petter Bengtsson -- Tuesday, 5 January 2010, at 12:59 p.m.
  • Match recube?
    garyo -- Tuesday, 5 January 2010, at 4:53 p.m.