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Bearoff 8 cube

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Friday, 8 January 2010, at 2:12 p.m.

In Response To: Bearoff 8 cube (misja)

You must have the wrong side on roll.

If -8 is on roll it should look something like this:

Pass: -4 -9 = 21.25%
Take and win: 100%
Take and lose: 0%

So takepoint of 21.25%.

However in looking at this again I just realized that 69.5% doesn't seem right at all for -5 -8. That's what I would use for -4 -7. I managed to mix up my Neil's #s.

So, -5 -8 should be 6 x 3 = 18% or 32%.

In that case risk is 32-6 = 26%, gain is 100 - 32, and risk / risk + gain = 26 / 94.

Let's see if I can do division any better this time...26 / 94 ~= 1/4. So 6 x 1/4 ~= 1.5. So 26 + 1.5 = takepoint of about 27.5%.

So yeah, I would think borderline drop.

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