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OTB and rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 14 January 2010, at 7:20 p.m.

In Response To: Money game: Blue to play 5-1 (Timothy Chow)

It's not quite 24 hours yet but I'm leaving for a trip today and am not sure when my next opportunity to post this rollout will be.

OTB, I thought like Neil and automatically played 23/18 2/1. But GNU agrees with Nack. Nack's insights are good, though I still need to play with variants of the position to get a better feel for it. Evidently, 2/1 is a bigger concession than I thought it was.

And as for QF...I'm glad Neil has already forgotten about my opponent whose pulse needed to be checked, so that I can fool Neil with my next anti-QF problem!

gnubg	130
tchow	127
Position ID: uZkNAA5m2xhgEA Match ID: cIkUAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	23/18 10/9	+0.630
			0.667 0.148 0.007 - 0.333 0.095 0.003 +0.392 +0.630 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.004 0.009
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 845356550 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	23/18 2/1	+0.577 ( -0.054)
			0.653 0.129 0.004 - 0.347 0.075 0.003 +0.363 +0.577 0.002 0.003 0.000 - 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.005 0.012
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 845356550 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	10/4	+0.555 ( -0.075)
			0.647 0.169 0.007 - 0.353 0.096 0.003 +0.372 +0.555 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.010
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 845356550 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Money game: Blue to play 5-1
  Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 13 January 2010, at 9:33 p.m.
  • Money game: Blue to play 5-1
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 14 January 2010, at 12:51 a.m.
  • Money game: Blue to play 5-1
    Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 14 January 2010, at 8:25 a.m.
    • Money game: Blue to play 5-1
      neilkaz -- Thursday, 14 January 2010, at 1:05 p.m.
      • Money game: Blue to play 5-1
        Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 14 January 2010, at 5:03 p.m.
  • OTB and rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 14 January 2010, at 7:20 p.m.