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Attack or Prime? XG Rollout, OTB

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Tuesday, 26 January 2010, at 9:14 p.m.

In Response To: Attack or Prime? (Rich Munitz)

OTB, I was sure that hitting would win more games, and saw the cracking numbers entering from the bar. But I was uncertain whether the extra gammon losses would override the extra wins. I decided that against my opponent I did not want to give the big game, figuring a 2 point loss would be more easily overcome than 4. So I primed. My opponent rolled 26 and very briefly I felt like a genius. But I lost the game anyway (2 points).

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 71
6
7 point match
pip: 125
score: 1

is Player 1
XGID=--aCCBB--A---AA-----bfdBb-:1:1:1:65:1:0:0:7:10
to play 65

1.Rollout113/2*eq: +0.482
Player:
Opponent:
64.57% (G:6.51% B:0.27%)
35.43% (G:13.03% B:0.73%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.478...+0.486)
Duration: 2 hours 45 minutes
2.Rollout114/8 13/8eq: +0.426 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:
60.30% (G:5.64% B:0.26%)
39.70% (G:7.05% B:0.27%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.422...+0.430)
Duration: 1 hour 13 minutes
1 7200 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12, MET: GnuBG 11 point

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