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Attack or Prime? Cube after hit and fan

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 27 January 2010, at 4:19 a.m.

In Response To: Attack or Prime? XG Rollout, OTB (Rich Munitz)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 1 (match to 7 points)

Move number 8: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	73
Blue	114
Position ID: 834DAEC62wgCGA Match ID: UQngAAAACAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5350	(Money: +0.5350)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.9903
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.0097
3.	No double	+0.8118	-0.1785
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.7646 0.0652 0.0017 - 0.2354 0.0584 0.0026 +0.5350 +0.8118 Standard error 0.0008 0.0010 0.0003 - 0.0008 0.0022 0.0010 0.0020 0.0032 Player White owns 4-cube 0.7911 0.0626 0.0032 - 0.2089 0.0816 0.0061 +1.1630 +0.9903 Standard error 0.0011 0.0021 0.0011 - 0.0011 0.0036 0.0016 0.0062 0.0065
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 846295337 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.5281 (Money: +0.5296)
0.7613 0.0695 0.0011 - 0.2387 0.0622 0.0015
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.8301
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.1699)
3. No double +0.7696 ( -0.0606)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

Messages In This Thread

• Attack or Prime?
  Rich Munitz -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 3:39 a.m.
  • Attack or Prime?
    KenB -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 4:46 a.m.
  • Attack or Prime?
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 5:52 a.m.
  • Attack or Prime?
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 6:15 a.m.
    • Attack or Prime?
      Steve Mellen -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 6:30 p.m.
  • Attack or Prime?
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 6:44 a.m.
  • Variant
    Stick -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 7:17 a.m.
    • Variant
      Leonardo Jerkovic -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 8:18 a.m.
    • Variant has 3 checkers on the 20 pt. instead of 2
      Rich Munitz -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 6:35 p.m.
  • Attack or Prime?
    garyo -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 5:37 p.m.
  • Attack or Prime?
    neilkaz -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 6:25 p.m.
  • Two twin variants
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 11:29 p.m.
  • Attack or Prime? XG Rollout, OTB
    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 26 January 2010, at 9:14 p.m.
    • Attack or Prime? Cube after hit and fan
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 27 January 2010, at 4:19 a.m.
      • Attack or Prime? HIt/Fan/Cube Money Game
        Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 27 January 2010, at 7:11 p.m.