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Attack or Prime? HIt/Fan/Cube Money Game

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 27 January 2010, at 7:11 p.m.

In Response To: Attack or Prime? Cube after hit and fan (Daniel Murphy)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 9: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	73
Blue	114
Position ID: 834DAEC62wgCGA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5391
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0747	+0.0747
3.	No double	+0.8426	-0.1574
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.7640 0.0657 0.0013 - 0.2360 0.0548 0.0011 +0.5391 +0.8426 Standard error 0.0009 0.0009 0.0001 - 0.0009 0.0007 0.0017 0.0021 0.0048 Player White owns 4-cube 0.7860 0.0727 0.0020 - 0.2140 0.0586 0.0015 +1.1729 +1.0747 Standard error 0.0011 0.0016 0.0002 - 0.0011 0.0009 0.0014 0.0056 0.0071
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 846295337 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.5297
0.7609 0.0704 0.0012 - 0.2391 0.0621 0.0015
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.9008
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.0992)
3. No double +0.7876 ( -0.1132)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

Cube analysis
3-ply cubeless equity +0.5568
0.7764 0.0767 0.0010 - 0.2236 0.0709 0.0028
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.9682
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.0318)
3. No double +0.7994 ( -0.1688)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

Cube analysis
4-ply cubeless equity +0.5221
0.7596 0.0674 0.0014 - 0.2404 0.0641 0.0016
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.8911
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.1089)
3. No double +0.7857 ( -0.1054)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

Messages In This Thread

• Attack or Prime?
  Rich Munitz -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 3:39 a.m.
  • Attack or Prime?
    KenB -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 4:46 a.m.
  • Attack or Prime?
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 5:52 a.m.
  • Attack or Prime?
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 6:15 a.m.
    • Attack or Prime?
      Steve Mellen -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 6:30 p.m.
  • Attack or Prime?
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 6:44 a.m.
  • Variant
    Stick -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 7:17 a.m.
    • Variant
      Leonardo Jerkovic -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 8:18 a.m.
    • Variant has 3 checkers on the 20 pt. instead of 2
      Rich Munitz -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 6:35 p.m.
  • Attack or Prime?
    garyo -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 5:37 p.m.
  • Attack or Prime?
    neilkaz -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 6:25 p.m.
  • Two twin variants
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 25 January 2010, at 11:29 p.m.
  • Attack or Prime? XG Rollout, OTB
    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 26 January 2010, at 9:14 p.m.
    • Attack or Prime? Cube after hit and fan
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 27 January 2010, at 4:19 a.m.
      • Attack or Prime? HIt/Fan/Cube Money Game
        Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 27 January 2010, at 7:11 p.m.