You fixed Grandell's last name but in the process you changed his first name from what you had earlier which was correct, Jerry, to *Gerry*.
Below are all the positions with rollouts reproduced. Your link had the same position several times for some reason. Also, the conclusion/analysis of one of the positions is incorrect according to the rollouts. Lastly, as always, when we're making up these reference positions why aren't we doing them for money ... (in the case of Francois' article, dmp is a good choice too) I know it's what came up OtB but if I like taking the AtS element out of the equation if I'm trying to find reference positions.
I only gave the positions and results a skim but it seems if there's a blot in the above like positions, you take one off from the rear, 6/off. If there's no blot and your opponent has 7 men off or more you also play 6/off. If there's no blot but your opponent has 6 or less off you take a man off and lift leaving no shot, 5/off 5/4.
      
    
        
 |  is Player 2
score: 7
pip: 35 | | 21 point match | pip: 50
score: 5
 is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBCDBBB--------------a--f-:2:1:1:51:5:7:0:21:10 |
| to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/0ff | eq: +0.272 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
49.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.005 (+0.267...+0.277)
Duration: 2.8 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 5/0ff 3/2 | eq: +0.230 (-0.042) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
51.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.005 (+0.225...+0.235)
Duration: 5.3 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 5/0ff 2/1 | eq: +0.200 (-0.072) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.78% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
52.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.005 (+0.195...+0.205)
Duration: 4.8 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 5/4 5/0ff | eq: +0.141 (-0.131) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 45.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
54.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.137...+0.145)
Duration: 1.6 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 6/5 6/1 | eq: +0.089 (-0.183) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 43.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
56.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.005 (+0.084...+0.094)
Duration: 1.2 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
| is Player 2
score: 7
pip: 32 | | 21 point match | pip: 50
score: 5
is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBCDBBB-----------------g-:2:1:1:51:5:7:0:21:10 |
| to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/0ff | eq: +0.066 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
57.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.064...+0.068)
Duration: 2.8 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 5/4 5/0ff | eq: +0.042 (-0.024) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
58.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.040...+0.044)
Duration: 1.4 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
| is Player 2
score: 7
pip: 31 | | 21 point match | pip: 50
score: 5
is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBCDBBB-----------------f-:2:1:1:51:5:7:0:21:10 |
| to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/0ff | eq: -0.138 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
65.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (-0.140...-0.136)
Duration: 4.0 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 5/4 5/0ff | eq: -0.199 (-0.061) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (-0.201...-0.197)
Duration: 2.4 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
 
| is Player 2
score: 7
pip: 30 | | 21 point match | pip: 50
score: 5
is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBCDBBB-----------------e-:2:1:1:51:5:7:0:21:10 |
| to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/0ff | eq: -0.332 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 27.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (-0.334...-0.330)
Duration: 3.8 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 5/0ff 3/2 | eq: -0.385 (-0.053) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 25.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (-0.387...-0.383)
Duration: 7.7 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 5/4 5/0ff | eq: -0.405 (-0.073) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 24.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
75.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (-0.407...-0.403)
Duration: 2.1 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
| is Player 2
score: 7
pip: 36 | | 21 point match | pip: 50
score: 5
is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBCDBBB--------------a--g-:2:1:1:51:5:7:0:21:10 |
| to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/0ff | eq: +0.454 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.005 (+0.449...+0.459)
Duration: 2.8 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 5/0ff 3/2 | eq: +0.386 (-0.068) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.382...+0.390)
Duration: 3.5 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 5/0ff 2/1 | eq: +0.363 (-0.091) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.359...+0.367)
Duration: 3.6 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 5/4 5/0ff | eq: +0.328 (-0.126) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.005 (+0.323...+0.333)
Duration: 1.4 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 6/5 6/1 | eq: +0.260 (-0.194) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
48.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.006 (+0.254...+0.266)
Duration: 1.1 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
| is Player 2
score: 7
pip: 33 | | 21 point match | pip: 50
score: 5
is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBCDBBB-----------------h-:2:1:1:51:5:7:0:21:10 |
| to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 5/4 5/0ff | eq: +0.279 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
48.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.277...+0.281)
Duration: 1.3 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 6/0ff | eq: +0.238 (-0.041) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
49.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.236...+0.240)
Duration: 2.3 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 6/5 6/1 | eq: +0.223 (-0.055) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
51.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.221...+0.225)
Duration: 1.0 second |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
 
| is Player 2
score: 7
pip: 34 | | 21 point match | pip: 50
score: 5
is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBCDBBB-----------------i-:2:1:1:51:5:7:0:21:10 |
| to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 5/4 5/0ff | eq: +0.575 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
38.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.572...+0.578)
Duration: 1.6 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 6/0ff | eq: +0.509 (-0.067) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
43.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.001 (+0.508...+0.510)
Duration: 1.4 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 6/5 6/1 | eq: +0.496 (-0.079) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
41.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.494...+0.498)
Duration: 1.6 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
Stick