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Blue to play 5-4 -- a rollout

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 5:20 p.m.

In Response To: Blue to play 5-4 (Daniel Murphy)

Unlimited match. Blue to play 5-4

White94


2X2X2O '2X3X2X2X ' ' '2O

 '2O2O2O2O2O '1O '2X ' '

Blue118

Position ID: G7sNGAC2bYIBDA Match ID: UYkSACAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 6/1 5/1 -0.2946
0.31610.03160.0005-0.68390.06510.0026 -0.4034 -0.2946
0.00080.00080.0001-0.00080.00110.0003 0.0019 0.0028
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 843523912 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 8/4 6/1 -0.2993 ( -0.0046)
0.32050.03600.0006-0.67950.09080.0032 -0.4163 -0.2993
0.00090.00070.0001-0.00090.00130.0003 0.0019 0.0031
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 843523912 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 8/3 5/1 -0.3081 ( -0.0134)
0.31640.03710.0007-0.68360.08610.0034 -0.4189 -0.3081
0.00100.00070.0001-0.00100.00140.0004 0.0020 0.0029
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 843523912 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 13/4 -0.3298 ( -0.0351)
0.30600.03260.0006-0.69400.06130.0005 -0.4165 -0.3298
0.00170.00150.0002-0.00170.00160.0002 0.0038 0.0048
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
598 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 843523912 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 13/9 13/8 -0.3453 ( -0.0507)
0.28980.02150.0006-0.71020.02220.0003 -0.4207 -0.3453
0.00140.00090.0001-0.00140.00150.0001 0.0030 0.0038
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
598 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 843523912 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]


Annotation
1. Cubeful 2-ply 6/1 5/1 Eq.: -0.2864

0.3200 0.0368 0.0002 - 0.6800 0.0709 0.0012

2. Cubeful 2-ply 13/9 13/8 Eq.: -0.2873 ( -0.0009)

0.3094 0.0259 0.0002 - 0.6906 0.0329 0.0001

3. Cubeful 2-ply 8/4 6/1 Eq.: -0.2942 ( -0.0078)

0.3200 0.0375 0.0002 - 0.6800 0.0792 0.0016

4. Cubeful 2-ply 8/3 5/1 Eq.: -0.3053 ( -0.0190)

0.3143 0.0368 0.0002 - 0.6857 0.0765 0.0012

5. Cubeful 2-ply 13/4 Eq.: -0.3131 ( -0.0267)

0.3081 0.0371 0.0003 - 0.6919 0.0695 0.0006

1. Cubeful 3-ply 6/1 5/1 Eq.: -0.3151

0.3098 0.0347 0.0003 - 0.6902 0.0742 0.0010

2. Cubeful 3-ply 8/4 6/1 Eq.: -0.3332 ( -0.0181)

0.3053 0.0344 0.0004 - 0.6947 0.0815 0.0013

3. Cubeful 3-ply 8/3 5/1 Eq.: -0.3365 ( -0.0214)

0.3032 0.0344 0.0004 - 0.6968 0.0800 0.0010

4. Cubeful 3-ply 13/9 13/8 Eq.: -0.3384 ( -0.0233)

0.2889 0.0227 0.0003 - 0.7111 0.0331 0.0001

5. Cubeful 3-ply 13/4 Eq.: -0.3602 ( -0.0451)

0.2897 0.0331 0.0006 - 0.7103 0.0702 0.0006

1. Cubeful 4-ply 6/1 5/1 Eq.: -0.2816

0.3231 0.0356 0.0002 - 0.6769 0.0697 0.0017

2. Cubeful 4-ply 8/4 6/1 Eq.: -0.2865 ( -0.0049)

0.3237 0.0363 0.0003 - 0.6763 0.0775 0.0021

3. Cubeful 4-ply 13/9 13/8 Eq.: -0.2943 ( -0.0127)

0.3075 0.0267 0.0003 - 0.6925 0.0323 0.0003

4. Cubeful 4-ply 8/3 5/1 Eq.: -0.2961 ( -0.0144)

0.3187 0.0361 0.0003 - 0.6813 0.0752 0.0018

5. Cubeful 4-ply 13/4 Eq.: -0.3081 ( -0.0265)

0.3104 0.0374 0.0005 - 0.6896 0.0644 0.0006

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