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Santa Fe Update -- bot says:

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 5:41 p.m.

In Response To: Santa Fe Update (Matt Cohn-Geier)

G11 MET.

The score is: Neil 4, Bill 5 (match to 11 points)

Bill on roll, cube decision?

Neil	19
Bill	24
Position ID: bxMAAGw7AAAAAA Match ID: UglgAUAAKAAA

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0948)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3515	(Money: +0.3515)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.4916
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.5084
3.	Double, take	+0.3968	-0.0948
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (15.7%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Bill owns 4-cube 0.6757 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3243 0.0000 0.0000 +0.3515 +0.4916 Standard error 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0005 Player Neil owns 8-cube 0.6758 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3242 0.0000 0.0000 +0.3968 +0.3968 Standard error 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 843234253 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Cube analysis
Rollout cubeless MWC 66.319% (Money: +0.3515)

Cubeful equities:
1. No double 70.231%
2. Double, pass 84.430% ( 14.199%)
3. Double, take 67.584% ( -2.647%)
Proper cube action: No redouble, take (15.7%)
Rollout details:
Player Blue owns 4-cube:
0.6757 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3243 0.0000 0.0000 CL 66.319% CF 70.231%
[0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 CL 0.002% CF 0.015%]
Player White owns 8-cube:
0.6758 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.3242 0.0000 0.0000 CL 67.584% CF 67.584%
[0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 CL 0.000% CF 0.000%]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 843234253 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

---

The score is: White 4, Blue 5 (match to 11 points)

Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	11
Blue	16
Position ID: bwEAANsCAAAAAA Match ID: UglgAUAAKAAA

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0371)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.4439	(Money: +0.4439)
	0.7219 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2781 0.0000 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.5990
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4010
3.	Double, take	+0.5619	-0.0371
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (8.5%)

---

The score is: White 4, Blue 5 (match to 11 points)

Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	6
Blue	9
Position ID: LwAAwBYAAAAAAA Match ID: UglgAUAAKAAA

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.5657	(Money: +0.5657)
	0.7829 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2171 0.0000 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.7800
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.2200
3.	No double	+0.7635	-0.0165
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take

---

The score (after 0 games) is: White 4, Blue 5 (match to 11 points)

Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	3
Blue	4
Position ID: BwAAsAAAAAAAAA Match ID: UglgAUAAKAAA

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.7222	(Money: +0.7222)
	0.8611 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.1389 0.0000 0.0000
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0602	+0.0602
3.	No double	+0.7222	-0.2778
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass

Messages In This Thread

• Santa Fe Update
  Bill Riles -- Saturday, 30 January 2010, at 4:36 p.m.
  • Santa Fe Update
    Bill Riles -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 2:06 a.m.
    • Santa Fe Update
      Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 2:25 a.m.
      • Santa Fe Update
        Bill Riles -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 3:07 p.m.
        • Santa Fe Update
          Bob Koca -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 5:49 p.m.
    • Santa Fe Update
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 1:32 p.m.
      • Santa Fe Update
        jdg -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 2:00 p.m.
        • Santa Fe Update
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 2:16 p.m.
      • Santa Fe Update -- bot says:
        Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 5:41 p.m.
        • Trice sofware finds opp adjuted breakeven pt where? *NM*
          Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 6:09 p.m.
        • Santa Fe Update -- bot says:
          Bill Riles -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 7:49 p.m.