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Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 10:44 p.m.

In Response To: free drops (christian munk-christensen)

They're all stat. sig. cept 21S-42P which is close enough. I didn't do 21S-64R because it's painfully obvious. (I also didn't do 21S-64P as you originally listed betting that I'll never see it in my lifetime or the next but I'd guess that to be a take also)

I did 21S-53S because I suspect that's the correct play also. Even if it isn't it's not like it's going to change your upcoming cube decision anyway. 21S-53P will clearly be a pass too.

The same goes for 21S-55, I rolled out the A play because I think it's right.





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 164
1 point match
pip: 167
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-aa---E-C---dEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:56:0:0:0:1:10
to play 56

1.Rollout124/13eq: -0.016
Player:
Opponent:
49.21% (G:13.30% B:1.55%)
50.79% (G:14.81% B:1.43%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.020...-0.012)
Duration: 2 hours 23 minutes
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply






is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 164
1 point match
pip: 167
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-aa---E-C---dEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:1:10
to play 55

1.Rollout18/3(2) 6/1*(2)eq: +0.021
Player:
Opponent:
51.04% (G:25.82% B:2.45%)
48.96% (G:14.80% B:1.94%)
Conf: ± 0.008 (+0.013...+0.029)
Duration: 1 hour 20 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply






is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 164
1 point match
pip: 167
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-aa---E-C---dEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:1:10
to play 53

1.Rollout124/21 13/8eq: -0.037
Player:
Opponent:
48.16% (G:15.36% B:1.84%)
51.84% (G:16.89% B:1.97%)
Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.045...-0.029)
Duration: 1 hour 41 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply






is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 164
1 point match
pip: 167
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-aa---E-C---dEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:42:0:0:0:1:10
to play 42

1.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.005
Player:
Opponent:
50.24% (G:17.30% B:2.25%)
49.76% (G:15.88% B:2.10%)
Conf: ± 0.006 (-0.001...+0.011)
Duration: 1 hour 55 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

Messages In This Thread

  • free drops
    christian munk-christensen -- Saturday, 30 January 2010, at 9:38 p.m.
    • free drops
      Petter Bengtsson -- Saturday, 30 January 2010, at 10:05 p.m.
    • free drops
      Stick -- Saturday, 30 January 2010, at 10:17 p.m.
      • free drops
        David Rockwell -- Saturday, 30 January 2010, at 10:45 p.m.
        • free drops
          Petter Bengtsson -- Saturday, 30 January 2010, at 11:16 p.m.
          • free drops
            David Rockwell -- Saturday, 30 January 2010, at 11:43 p.m.
          • free drops
            Stick -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 8:45 a.m.
        • free drops
          Stick -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 8:44 a.m.
      • free drops
        christian munk-christensen -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 4:29 p.m.
    • free drops
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 30 January 2010, at 10:24 p.m.
    • free drops
      Mochy -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 12:34 a.m.
      • free drops
        Stick -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 8:49 a.m.
    • free drops
      Christian Plenz -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 2:50 a.m.
    • free drops
      christian munk-christensen -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 4:36 p.m.
    • Rollouts
      Stick -- Sunday, 31 January 2010, at 10:44 p.m.
      • Rollouts
        christian munk-christensen -- Monday, 1 February 2010, at 4:28 p.m.
        • Rollouts
          Stick -- Monday, 1 February 2010, at 4:39 p.m.

 

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