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Ballard-Grandell position - similar concept

Posted By: Leonardo Jerkovic
Date: Thursday, 4 February 2010, at 9:46 a.m.

In Response To: New Mexico Finals - John O'Hagan v. Dorn Bishop (Marv Porten)

is Grandell

score: 0
pip: 124
25 point match
pip: 143
score: 0

is Ballard
XGID=---BBBBAA---dB---cbdbB--A-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:0:25:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 74,82% (G: 8,85% B: 0,31%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25,18% (G: 3,32% B: 0,10%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 75,04% (G: 8,93% B: 0,32%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24,96% (G: 3,33% B: 0,10%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0,554
Double:+1,120
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0,950 (-0,002)
Double/Take:+0,952
Double/Drop:+1,000 (+0,048)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1979
Moves and cube decisions: 1 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0,019 (+0,930...+0,969)
Confidence Double: ± 0,022 (+0,930...+0,973)
Double Decision confidence: 55,9%
Take Decision confidence: 100,0%
Duration: 1 minute 13 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12, MET: GnuBG 11 point

I guess I'd say either cube is tough part of the game, or there are some other factors attached to it, that bot does not count.

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