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O'Hagan v. Bishop - NM Finals - Cube Game #1

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 4 February 2010, at 6:47 p.m.

In Response To: O'Hagan v. Bishop - NM Finals - Cube Game #1 (Stick)

This looks like a big double to me. The race is basically even but Yellow has a much stronger position.

I think the tough decision is whether to take. The positive aspect for Brown is that Yellow might roll two big numbers (not matched!) like 65 64 63 54, or 43 52 where she has to stack. Otherwise her rolls all play fine and Brown just has a putrid position without any meaningful counterplay.

With 63 54 (possibly her worst rolls), I think Yellow can afford to run to the 11pt, and of course that would give Brown an easy take but if that's the best that Brown is going to get than he really doesn't have much of a take overall, as I see it. With 65 Yellow will leave an ace shot and with 64 she'll point on the 2pt, compromising her prime, but those rolls (even though among her worst) aren't so bad.

I'm going to pass for Brown, though I admit I've underestimated slime vig before. It's probably close and it wouldn't surprise me if it were a take. If it's no double or if that decision is even close, though, I'll be floored.

Nack

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