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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 7 February 2010, at 11:23 p.m.

In Response To: O'Hagan v. Bishop - NM Finals - Cube Game #7 (Stick)

Nack was the only one brave enough to answer? Quit reading his analysis first then maybe you'll have something to say.





is Dorn Bishop

score: 3
pip: 126
11 point match
pip: 149
score: 4

is John O'Hagan
XGID=---b-BCBB---bDA--bbc--b-bA:0:0:-1:00:4:3:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 56.47% (G: 34.18% B: 0.66%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 43.53% (G: 9.81% B: 0.60%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 57.16% (G: 35.35% B: 0.58%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 42.84% (G: 9.37% B: 0.81%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.388
Double:+0.927
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.535 (-0.068)
Double/Take:+0.603
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.397)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.021 (+0.514...+0.556)
Confidence Double: ± 0.030 (+0.574...+0.633)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 12 minutes 07 seconds

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