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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 7 February 2010, at 11:27 p.m.

In Response To: O'Hagan v. Bishop - NM Finals - Cube Game #9 (Stick)

I wasn't there to watch this match nor question John afterwards so I don't know what his thoughts were on the position. I find in general people wait too long to cube against backgames. (they also take too deep, the first explaining the second) Black has no real spares to play here and will likely be on roll with 5 checkers behind a 4 prime. His 3pt is even too deep for the position. I didn't waste the time on a rollout because it's clear to me it's a dead drop, the only question is "how big".





is Dorn Bishop

score: 4
pip: 187
11 point match
pip: 148
score: 5

is John O'Hagan
XGID=-bb-aBDBA---bD--Ab-d--b-A-:0:0:1:00:5:4:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 69.24% (G: 29.06% B: 3.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.76% (G: 6.03% B: 0.25%)
 
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.676
Double:+1.427
 
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.901 (-0.099)
Double/Take:+1.107 (+0.107)
Double/Drop:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
 

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