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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 9 February 2010, at 4:42 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout of TheProdigy's backgame problem (Timothy Chow)

Rollout took virtually no time whatsoever.





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 66
9 point match
pip: 154
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-BB-BBA------A----cbcCdcB-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:9:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 64.89% (G: 36.11% B: 4.70%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.11% (G: 2.31% B: 0.09%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64.96% (G: 36.43% B: 7.56%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.04% (G: 2.18% B: 0.10%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.713
Redouble:+1.358
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.875 (-0.093)
Redouble/Take:+0.968
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.032)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.008 (+0.867...+0.883)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.014 (+0.955...+0.982)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 35 minutes 36 seconds

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