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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 11 February 2010, at 8:04 p.m.

In Response To: "Too good and not good enough": Two common mistakes (Timothy Chow)

I'm pretty sure I never posted this.





is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 127
5 point match
pip: 77
score: 3

is Player 1
XGID=-AAbbFEB-----------bbbbba-:0:0:1:00:3:2:0:5:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
  Player Winning Chances: 75.54% (G: 18.16% B: 0.87%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 24.46% (G: 1.59% B: 0.08%)
Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 74.69% (G: 29.89% B: 0.84%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 25.31% (G: 1.94% B: 0.14%)
 
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.850
Double:+1.576
 
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.817 (-0.161)
Double/Take:+0.979
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.021)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
 
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
 
Confidence No Double: ± 0.005 (+0.812...+0.822)
Confidence Double: ± 0.011 (+0.968...+0.989)
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
 
Duration: 29 minutes 57 seconds

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