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Thoughts OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 17 February 2010, at 5:47 p.m.

In Response To: Double 1, Oh what fun ! (neilkaz)

OTB it seemed close to me, but being up only 12 pts I felt it slightly best to block him so I slid from the 11 to 10 pt.

Then a pink elephant must have flown by, since I decided to prefer 3/2(2) over 8/6 and missed the obvious 3/1 ! Usually I am on the lookout for play like 3/1 but here I never considered it. (Note to self, play 11 and 22 extremely slowly)

Anyhow, the slight loss in equity between 3/2(2) and 3/1 didn't hurt me since I rolled 66 next and was hit and dead.




is STEAMSAX

score: 12
pip: 111
13 point match
Crawford
pip: 103
score: 10

is neilkaz
XGID=---BbCC-CB-Ba---aa-bbbac--:0:0:1:11:10:12:1:13:10
to play 11

1.Rollout111/10(2) 3/1eq: +0.425
Player:
Opponent:
71.18% (G:2.30% B:0.06%)
28.82% (G:1.54% B:0.03%)
Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.422...+0.428)
Duration: 2 minutes 32 seconds
2.Rollout111/10(2) 3/2(2)eq: +0.414 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
70.60% (G:2.22% B:0.05%)
29.40% (G:1.59% B:0.03%)
Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.411...+0.417)
Duration: 2 minutes 15 seconds
3.Rollout111/10(2) 8/6eq: +0.414 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
70.61% (G:2.23% B:0.05%)
29.39% (G:1.53% B:0.03%)
Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.411...+0.417)
Duration: 2 minutes 10 seconds
4.Rollout111/9(2)eq: +0.408 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
70.34% (G:1.92% B:0.05%)
29.66% (G:0.96% B:0.02%)
Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.406...+0.410)
Duration: 2 minutes 25 seconds
5.Rollout19/7(2)eq: +0.399 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:
69.84% (G:2.23% B:0.14%)
30.16% (G:0.99% B:0.02%)
Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.397...+0.401)
Duration: 2 minutes 26 seconds
6.Rollout18/7(3) 3/2eq: +0.394 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:
69.53% (G:2.62% B:0.16%)
30.47% (G:1.65% B:0.04%)
Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.391...+0.397)
Duration: 2 minutes 35 seconds
7.Rollout18/7(2) 8/6eq: +0.392 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:
69.50% (G:2.07% B:0.07%)
30.50% (G:1.23% B:0.03%)
Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.390...+0.394)
Duration: 2 minutes 10 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12, MET: GnuBG 11 point

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