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A Double One To Play

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 18 February 2010, at 6:28 p.m.

In Response To: A Double One To Play (Neil Robins)

If we don't hit we clearly are favorites due to our 4 prime. We may win as much as 20/26 here after 13/11(2).

If we do hit, we are screwed on 10 shots and probably lose 9.5 or those.

What about the other 26 times? I think our opp likely can win at least 1/4 of those since the race is still close and while he often breaks his board, it will still be 5 pts. It seems that we lose about 16 games either way, perhaps a tad more from hitting. We also get a bit more G's from hitting but G's are likely anyhow.

Looks close.. flip a coin.

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