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match cube: -2, -3
Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier In Response To: match cube: -2, -3 (christian munk-christensen)
Date: Sunday, 7 March 2010, at 9:47 a.m.
Take point is approximately 26% plus .45 times G's.
How often does the anchor game win? Bare money take would be like 22% or thereabouts and it looks like you have a lot more than that. In fact this looks like a really thin money cube at best.
How often do you get G'd? Anchor by itself almost never gets G'd but with the gap on the 5pt and the blot on the 3pt let's say you get G'd 10% of the time. That adds 4.5% to your take point. So you need like 30.5% GWC to take this.
Them's not such good odds...I think you have that but just barely.
D/marginal T.
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