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Safe or bold? Take two

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 9 March 2010, at 4:19 a.m.

In Response To: Safe or bold? Take two (Timothy Chow)

Consistent with Philippe's explanation, it's better to play safe in this position. It's rather striking how much difference there is between the 2-point and 3-point anchors in this position. I still feel I don't fully understand this position.

gnubg	76
tchow	118
Position ID: O3cHABCzNSMCDA Match ID: UYkMABAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	14/11 5/4	-0.157
			0.387 0.021 0.001 - 0.613 0.113 0.001 -0.319 -0.157 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.002 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 850669401 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	8/7 8/5	-0.210 ( -0.053)
			0.418 0.027 0.001 - 0.582 0.258 0.006 -0.401 -0.210 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 850669401 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	5/2*/1	-0.227 ( -0.070)
			0.370 0.013 0.000 - 0.630 0.138 0.002 -0.387 -0.227 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.003 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 850669401 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	11/8 5/4	-0.244 ( -0.087)
			0.347 0.016 0.000 - 0.653 0.102 0.001 -0.392 -0.244 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.003 0.004
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 850669401 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Safe or bold? Take two
  Timothy Chow -- Monday, 8 March 2010, at 1:48 a.m.
  • Safe or bold? Take two
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 9 March 2010, at 4:19 a.m.