I guess this was too boring or too easy for people. OTB I realized that with my opp having two open high points and about to blot that I look for more contact even if it meant leaving a shot. 18/15 seems to give me many returns from the roof and the hitting 63 has to slot inside and the hitting 33 breaks the board down to 3 pts.
After 18/15 I had a slight pref for 9/7 not wasting pips but Rory slightly preferred 3/1 for more flexibility.
OTB I was hit with 53 and danced long enuf to lose a G. Two games later, and with David Rockwell afterwards telling me that he agreed with all I did including score oriented cube decisions, I was down 10-0 Craw.

              
    
              
 | is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 60 | | 11 point match | pip: 98 score: 0
is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-BBCB-B--A--b-----Cb--cec-:1:1:1:23:0:0:0:11:10 |
to play 23 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 18/15 3/1 | eq: -0.129 |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.83% (G:3.94% B:0.11%) 62.17% (G:6.01% B:0.03%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (-0.131...-0.127) Duration: 21 minutes 45 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 18/15 9/7 | eq: -0.138 (-0.008) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.24% (G:3.79% B:0.11%) 62.76% (G:5.31% B:0.03%) | Conf: ± 0.002 (-0.140...-0.136) Duration: 20 minutes 14 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 18/13 | eq: -0.167 (-0.037) |
| Player: Opponent: | 36.01% (G:3.69% B:0.11%) 63.99% (G:5.02% B:0.02%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.171...-0.163) Duration: 7 minutes 41 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 9/6 3/1 | eq: -0.169 (-0.040) |
| Player: Opponent: | 34.74% (G:1.92% B:0.05%) 65.26% (G:2.26% B:0.01%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.173...-0.165) Duration: 5 minutes 47 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | 18/16 9/6 | eq: -0.169 (-0.040) |
| Player: Opponent: | 35.98% (G:3.06% B:0.09%) 64.02% (G:5.31% B:0.02%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.173...-0.165) Duration: 7 minutes 26 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout2 | 9/4 | eq: -0.197 (-0.068) |
| Player: Opponent: | 33.57% (G:1.72% B:0.05%) 66.43% (G:2.10% B:0.01%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.201...-0.193) Duration: 5 minutes 09 seconds |
|
| |
1 6204 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
2 2250 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross