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65R-54S-53 and related positions

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 13 March 2010, at 2:24 a.m.

In Response To: 65R-54S-53 and related positions (jdg)

I would have phrased it:

"Conclusion: For money, when Blue has run with 65, White has split with a 4, 3 or 2, and Blue rolls an 8, 9 or 10, running is better than hitting (though making a point is better than either with 53), unless White has split to the 20 pt."

That would be an improvement in the wording if it were true. But for 65R-54S-53, running is better than hitting. Thus 65R-43S-53 (as I stated) is the only exception to the "rule" (as far as we know to this point).

65R-54S-53 [P H29 R31 S41] tr, [R H14] 7k

As mentioned in the text, there are two rollouts represented for 65R-54S-53. The first includes P (point) but its only truncated. The second does not include P, but it is full (7k, XG 4-ply), from Neil's post. With the data we have so far, my best guess of "value," give or take a few thousandths, is [P R26 H33 S41].

Hope that clarifies.

-Nack

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