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BGonline.org Forums
Sorry, editing screwup
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: Rollout: Double from the bar? (Timothy Chow)
Date: Tuesday, 16 March 2010, at 11:27 p.m.
Sorry, I posted the second rollout twice and inadvertently omitted the rollout with no Jacoby rule. Below is the rollout without Jacoby. I said this was a "marginal" double; maybe 0.050 is more than marginal but the point is that Jacoby makes a significant difference.
gnubg 101
tchow 134 Position ID: a7ZAwAk7swUDQA Match ID: MAEAADAAAAAA
• gnubg doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.327 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.378 2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.622 3. No double +0.328 -0.050 Proper cube action: Double, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.579 0.331 0.020 - 0.421 0.177 0.004 +0.327 +0.328 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.001 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.004 0.009 Player tchow owns 2-cube 0.583 0.334 0.020 - 0.417 0.174 0.005 +0.682 +0.378 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.001 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.009 0.013 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 850748998 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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