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Something's got to give

Posted By: Chase
Date: Thursday, 18 March 2010, at 2:30 a.m.

In Response To: Something's got to give (Timothy Chow)

A choice between leaving a double shot and getting hit 50%+ but usually getting a direct return shot as a result or giving up some racing equity in hopes of getting and hitting a shot later. Racing, and leaving the double shot looks like a better bet.

I'd play 18/12. If I've counted right, White has fewer perfectas if Blue stays on 18 rather than advancing to 17. It might be right to lift with 5/4 after 18/11, but that takes a parlay to get punished and the gap hurts Blue's racing chances, so I'll leave the blot.

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