[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

UBK vs. Gus Cube

Posted By: jdg
Date: Sunday, 21 March 2010, at 1:37 p.m.

In Response To: UBK vs. Gus Cube (jdg)





is Player 2

score: 11
pip: 65
13 point match
pip: 78
score: 8

is Player 1
XGID=-BBCC-AAA-A-a-----bbAaeca-:0:0:-1:D:8:11:0:13:10
double to 2 take ?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 77.05% (G: 1.43% B: 0.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.95% (G: 0.75% B: 0.02%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 77.23% (G: 1.83% B: 0.05%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.77% (G: 0.40% B: 0.01%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.561
Double:+1.757
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.819 (-0.181)
Double/Take:+1.033 (+0.033)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply
Search interval: Huge
Confidence No Double: ± 0.004 (+0.815...+0.822)
Confidence Double: ± 0.005 (+1.028...+1.038)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 10 minutes 02 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Answer: it depends on the MET!

XGR+ has it: G11-MET: .006 Drop; RK-MET: .048 Drop.

Adjusting +.015 difference from the roll-out, using the G11 MET will now make it a take. The Woolsey MET is a big take.

jdg

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.