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OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 22 March 2010, at 7:43 p.m.

In Response To: The 32 backgame seems to have worked (neilkaz)

OTB I cubed this rather quickly since my opp had been making all sorts of errors in our three matches. Clearly it isn't easy to evaluate and the deciding factor was my opp's 2 pt board and 5 checkers on the ace (often with more to join the guff party). The RO says my game isn't as good as I'd felt (I felt it was a .65 Take and that cubing was OK, but my opp instantly passed.




is EU_IT_Firpo

score: 5
pip: 72
15 point match
pip: 140
score: 6

is Neil
XGID=--ABBCBA---------ccc-aBBe-:0:0:1:00:6:5:0:15:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 62.54% (G: 16.88% B: 0.65%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.46% (G: 9.43% B: 0.24%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64.00% (G: 17.04% B: 0.72%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.00% (G: 9.23% B: 0.26%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.328
Double:+0.721
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.441
Double/Take:+0.415 (-0.026)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.559)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
25920 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: Random
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.003 (+0.438...+0.444)
Confidence Double: ± 0.005 (+0.411...+0.420)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 16 hours 26 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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