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bear in

Posted By: joe freedman
Date: Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 6:58 p.m.

In Response To: bear in (joe freedman)

I was thinking along the same lines as Bill (now there's a scary thought) and Chuck. [I don't think the race is of primary concern here.] GNU rewarded me with an invite to BK. Maybe there' something wrong with the rollout, as when I moved the GNU spare from its one to six point (presumbably increasing gammons), my play goes down to -.145

The score (after 3 games) is: gnu 1, blotto 6 (match to 7 points, post-Crawford play)

Move number 37: blotto to play 46

gnu	82
blotto	59
Position ID: t20DQAR3j2kAAA Match ID: UQn6ABAAMAAA

• blotto moves 8/2 6/2

Alert: bad move ( -0.139)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	9/3 8/4*	+0.005
			0.573 0.104 0.000 - 0.427 0.110 0.003 +0.005 +0.005 0.002 0.018 0.000 - 0.002 0.003 0.001 0.006 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			194 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 848170679 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when std.errs. are small enough: ratio 0.1 (min. 144 games)
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	8/2 6/2	-0.134 ( -0.139)
			0.458 0.015 0.000 - 0.542 0.041 0.000 -0.134 -0.134 0.002 0.007 0.000 - 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.005 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			144 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 848170679 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when std.errs. are small enough: ratio 0.1 (min. 144 games)
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 1.96 (min. 144 games)
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	0	9/5 9/3	-0.239 ( -0.244)
			0.406 0.012 0.000 - 0.594 0.042 0.000
	4	0	9/5 8/2	-0.630 ( -0.635)
			0.259 0.010 0.000 - 0.741 0.123 0.001
	5	0	9/3 6/2	-1.127 ( -1.132)
			0.143 0.006 0.000 - 0.857 0.336 0.004

Messages In This Thread

• bear in
  joe freedman -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 12:40 p.m.
  • bear in
    Bill Riles -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 2:16 p.m.
  • bear in
    Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 4:53 p.m.
  • bear in
    Chase -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 6:12 p.m.
    • bear in
      Chase -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 8:10 p.m.
  • bear in
    joe freedman -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 6:58 p.m.
    • bear in
      Sam Pottle -- Monday, 29 March 2010, at 3:59 a.m.
  • bear in -- warning: next post contains rollout *NM*
    joe freedman -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 6:59 p.m.