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Mochy/MCG cube action

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Friday, 2 April 2010, at 2:16 p.m.

In Response To: Mochy/MCG cube action (Sam Pottle)

My OTB estimates are that White's naive 4-cube takepoint (if they take and never redouble) is around 24.5% and that Blue's 8-cube takepoint is 29%. Assuming 70% efficiency, White will need around 19.2% cubless chances to take this cube.

Both the Ward count and a more complex pipple count say this is a take for money, so it's certainly a take ATS. My best guess is that the oppt's have around 26% cubeless chances here and that's quite a ways from an efficient cube. I think we're supposed to wait.

NR/T. Those of you who are members of Kit Woolsey's site and want to read about a very good pipple count can do so at this link:

http://www.gammonu.com/members/Dec00/articles/pipples.htm

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