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BGonline.org Forums
Critical match score oriented cube action from DK vs World
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: Critical match score oriented cube action from DK vs World (neilkaz)
Date: Monday, 5 April 2010, at 12:50 a.m.
Does White have a take? Trailer's basic 2-cube takepoint is the normal 25%, gammons slightly favor the trailer by around 56%/53%, and leader's 4-cube takepoint is around 27%. White is currently up in the race, will frequently make the 22-pt and hope to get lucky from there, black's gammon chances aren't great, white wins some g's as well, and cube ownership figures to be greater than normal ATS. All in all, looks like a take.
Should Black send it over. I think so. White's position is brittle and a lot of his next rolls force a major concession, dbl 2s 4s and 5s are big mkt losers, and I don't think the leader should be overly concerned about facing a scary gammonish 4-cube. Could happen of course, but it's pretty unlikely. Looks like the kind of double you don't mind giving with a good lead in the match.
D/T.
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