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Another caveat about stopping rollouts at 3 jsds

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 6 April 2010, at 12:19 a.m.

In Response To: Another caveat about stopping rollouts at 3 jsds (Bob Koca)

Bob Koca wrote:

What if the early stop was made 4 jsd instead.

First of all I should correct a statement I made earlier. With (min=1296 max=46656 jsds=3) I get about 5% not 3%. The 3% figure was for (min=5184 max=46656 jsds=3).

For (min=1296 max=46656 jsds=4) I'm getting about 0.2%.

By the way, in email correspondence with Doug Zare, I learned that he flagged this issue back when GNU Backgammon first introduced the feature, recommending going from 2 jsds to 3 jsds. Could be that it's time to start thinking about 4 jsds if we still want the early-exit feature.

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