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Sorry, my mistake. XG Roller+ agree with rollout

Posted By: Mislav Radica
Date: Wednesday, 7 April 2010, at 9:56 a.m.

In Response To: Cube decision where XG Roller+ err #2 (Mislav Radica)





is XG Roller

score: 4
pip: 153
7 point match
pip: 148
score: 0

is mradica
XGID=aa-C--C-B--AdD---cAd---bA-:0:0:1:00:0:4:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 59,44% (G: 21,22% B: 0,92%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40,56% (G: 12,43% B: 1,52%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 59,45% (G: 21,83% B: 0,90%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40,55% (G: 12,95% B: 2,02%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0,262
Double:+0,711
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0,654 (-0,015)
Double/Take:+0,669
Double/Drop:+1,000 (+0,331)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0,010 (+0,644...+0,663)
Confidence Double: ± 0,011 (+0,658...+0,681)
Double Decision confidence: 97,8%
Take Decision confidence: 100,0%
Duration: 1 hour 31 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross



Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 58,83% (G: 20,20% B: 0,76%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41,17% (G: 11,66% B: 0,56%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0,259
Double:+0,651
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0,617 (-0,015)
Double/Take:+0,632
Double/Drop:+1,000 (+0,368)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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