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XG 4 ply RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 9 April 2010, at 1:11 p.m.

In Response To: Critical match score oriented cube action from DK vs World (neilkaz)





is Player 2

score: 10
pip: 146
15 point match
pip: 115
score: 5

is Player 1
XGID=-BBb-BC-BaB-b----bbbbbAA--:0:0:-1:D:5:10:0:15:10
double to 2 take ?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 77.10% (G: 20.18% B: 0.98%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.90% (G: 5.58% B: 0.14%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 77.84% (G: 19.59% B: 1.09%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.16% (G: 5.14% B: 0.13%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.688
Double:+1.321
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.899 (-0.101)
Double/Take:+1.034 (+0.034)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
11664 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.004 (+0.895...+0.902)
Confidence Double: ± 0.006 (+1.028...+1.040)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 9 hours 24 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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