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XG 3/4-ply rollouts

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Sunday, 11 April 2010, at 10:55 a.m.

In Response To: Eleven-Checker-Off Cube Action (Paul Weaver)

Rollouts, 3-ply checker play and 4-ply cube, with centered cube and with player on roll holding the cube.





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 57
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 28
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-C-----------------cccbbbA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 76,08% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23,88% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 75,87% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24,13% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0,522
Double:+1,035
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0,865 (-0,001)
Double/Take:+0,866
Double/Drop:+1,000 (+0,134)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
839808 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: Random
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0,001 (+0,865...+0,866)
Confidence Double: ± 0,001 (+0,866...+0,867)
Double Decision confidence: 96,2%
Take Decision confidence: 100,0%
Duration: 2 hours 59 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 57
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 28
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-C-----------------cccbbbA:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 76,13% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23,87% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 75,88% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24,12% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0,523
Redouble:+1,035
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0,866 (0,000)
Redouble/Take:+0,866
Redouble/Drop:+1,000 (+0,134)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
186624 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: Random
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0,001 (+0,865...+0,867)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0,001 (+0,865...+0,867)
Double Decision confidence: 52,9%
Take Decision confidence: 100,0%
Duration: 39 minutes 50 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13

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