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Vegas SuperJackpot Woolsey vs O'Hagan #1

Posted By: Chase
Date: Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 6:10 a.m.

In Response To: Vegas SuperJackpot Woolsey vs O'Hagan #1 (Paul Weaver)

Using NNN, I get 29 and 14 for live and dead TPs, respectively (not sure if I'm calculating the live cube figure correctly). I'm thinking recube vig puts the gammonless TP at around 17%. I guess White wins 18% gammons to Black's 5. I don't know the GVs at this score, so I'll use money (.5). That puts Black's TP at 17 + (18 x .5) - (5 x .5) = 23.5. I'd guess Black wins 29% from here, so I think it's an easy take. I'd wait to double, but I think it might be technically correct.

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