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Opening 41 & 51, with free drop

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Saturday, 17 April 2010, at 4:15 a.m.

In Response To: Opening 21, with free drop (Bob Glass)

Here are a couple of interesting rollouts where up moves fare well. I need to extend them of course.

The score (after 0 games) is: GNU bg 1, user 2 (match to 3 points, post-Crawford play)

Move number 1: GNU bg to play 14

GNU bg	167
user	167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MIFwABAAEAAA

• GNU bg moves 24/23 13/9

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	24/23 24/20	+0.9361
			0.4897 0.1377 0.0103 - 0.5103 0.1557 0.0138 +0.1382 +0.9361 0.0008 0.0020 0.0009 - 0.0008 0.0022 0.0012 0.0020 0.0030
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806225086 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	24/23 13/9	+0.9345 ( -0.0015)
			0.4957 0.1605 0.0182 - 0.5043 0.1721 0.0208 +0.1468 +0.9345 0.0009 0.0021 0.0014 - 0.0009 0.0025 0.0014 0.0024 0.0035
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806225086 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/8	+0.9238 ( -0.0122)
			0.4851 0.1562 0.0132 - 0.5149 0.1688 0.0206 +0.1326 +0.9238 0.0008 0.0021 0.0010 - 0.0008 0.0023 0.0014 0.0023 0.0033
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806225086 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	13/9 6/5	+0.9132 ( -0.0228)
			0.4971 0.1665 0.0201 - 0.5029 0.2101 0.0500 +0.1384 +0.9132 0.0017 0.0026 0.0017 - 0.0017 0.0032 0.0026 0.0035 0.0066
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 813328852 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	R	24/20 6/5	+0.9023 ( -0.0338)
			0.4867 0.1466 0.0134 - 0.5133 0.1881 0.0300 +0.1217 +0.9023 0.0014 0.0022 0.0012 - 0.0014 0.0028 0.0018 0.0029 0.0055
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 813328852 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: player 0 1, player 1 2 (match to 3 points, post-Crawford play)

Move number 1: player 0 to play 51

player 0	167
player 1	167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MIFmABAAEAAA

• player 0 moves 24/23 13/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	24/18	+0.9391
			0.4915 0.1464 0.0202 - 0.5085 0.1753 0.0180 +0.0775 +0.9391 0.0012 0.0025 0.0016 - 0.0012 0.0027 0.0014 0.0027 0.0046
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 812240182 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	24/23 13/8	+0.9380 ( -0.0011)
			0.4962 0.1550 0.0132 - 0.5038 0.1580 0.0138 +0.1543 +0.9380 0.0007 0.0021 0.0010 - 0.0007 0.0021 0.0011 0.0021 0.0028
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 812240182 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/8 6/5	+0.9048 ( -0.0344)
			0.5020 0.1428 0.0057 - 0.4980 0.1390 0.0062
	4	2	13/7	+0.8806 ( -0.0585)
			0.4845 0.1369 0.0055 - 0.5155 0.1429 0.0065
	5	2	24/23 8/3	+0.8459 ( -0.0932)
			0.4623 0.1257 0.0050 - 0.5377 0.1610 0.0071

Messages In This Thread

• RO 21 at gammonsave
  Tommy Nesbakk -- Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 4:48 a.m.
  • What Should the Better Player Do?
    Paul Weaver -- Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 4:57 a.m.
    • What Should the Better Player Do?
      misja -- Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 7:26 a.m.
    • What Should the Better Player Do?
      neilkaz -- Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 3:42 p.m.
  • RO 21 at gammonsave
    myshlev -- Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 7:17 a.m.
    • RO 21 at gammonsave
      Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 3:17 p.m.
      • RO 21 at gammonsave
        David -- Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 4:10 p.m.
      • Opening 21, with free drop
        Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 7:46 p.m.
        • Opening 21, with free drop
          Bob Koca -- Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 7:52 p.m.
          • Opening 21, with free drop
            Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 7:59 p.m.
        • Opening 21, with free drop
          David Rockwell -- Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 10:56 p.m.
          • Opening 21, with free drop
            Bob Glass -- Friday, 16 April 2010, at 10:08 p.m.
            • Opening 21, with free drop
              Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 17 April 2010, at 12:09 a.m.
            • Opening 41 & 51, with free drop
              David Rockwell -- Saturday, 17 April 2010, at 4:15 a.m.
  • RO 21 at gammonsave..mine 4 ply "normal"
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 3:39 p.m.