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RO result

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 20 April 2010, at 11:58 a.m.

In Response To: Stick vs. mfic final game cube action (neilkaz)

Hmm.. I guessed .992 take and it ended up .995. LOL I do need to study more.

Anyhow I strongly feel that Stick should've passed this OTB and note that when he takes there's no further cube decisions to be made in the match (assuming Patrick cubes almost instantly at -2-2). To me, this seems to be a score where the stronger player should prefer to play more games and while Patrick's game continues to improve, I suspect Stick is likely 100 Elo stronger.

	is Player 2 score: 13 pip: 122 15 point match pip: 102 score: 11 is Player 1
XGID=-A-bC-CCC---bB-a-a-cb--bb-:0:0:1:00:11:13:0:15:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	76.48% (G: 3.54% B: 0.11%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	23.52% (G: 1.71% B: 0.04%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	76.84% (G: 3.35% B: 0.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	23.16% (G: 1.83% B: 0.05%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.534
Double:	+0.999
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.928 (-0.067)
Double/Take:	+0.995
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.005)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
10386 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0.002 (+0.926...+0.930)
Confidence Double:	± 0.003 (+0.992...+0.997)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 2 hours 11 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
  Sam Pottle -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 9:37 a.m.
  • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 10:23 a.m.
  • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
    Chase -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 10:48 a.m.
    • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 11:37 a.m.
      • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
        Henrik Bukkjaer -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 12:12 p.m.
        • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
          Henrik Bukkjaer -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 12:28 p.m.
          • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
            Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 20 April 2010, at 1:04 a.m.
        • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
          Henrik Bukkjaer -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 12:32 p.m.
      • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
        Chase -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 12:55 p.m.
      • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
        Rich Munitz -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 1:15 p.m.
        • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
          Christian Munk-Christensen -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 1:23 p.m.
          • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
            Bob Koca -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 2:24 p.m.
          • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
            Timothy Chow -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 9:02 p.m.
            • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
              Rich Munitz -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 10:01 p.m.
        • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
          Chase -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 2:19 p.m.
      • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
        neilkaz -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 4:23 p.m.
      • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
        Chuck Bower -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 7:06 p.m.
  • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
    Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 10:53 a.m.
    • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
      neilkaz -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 4:32 p.m.
      • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
        Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 4:44 p.m.
        • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
          neilkaz -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 4:52 p.m.
          • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
            Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 5:17 p.m.
      • XG 4 ply RO started and is blazing fast
        neilkaz -- Monday, 19 April 2010, at 4:48 p.m.
      • RO result
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 20 April 2010, at 11:58 a.m.
        • RO result
          Stick -- Tuesday, 20 April 2010, at 12:34 p.m.
        • RO result
          Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 21 April 2010, at 1:39 a.m.
      • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
        Bill Riles -- Thursday, 22 April 2010, at 7:00 p.m.
        • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
          Henrik Bukkjaer -- Thursday, 22 April 2010, at 8:22 p.m.
          • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
            Bill Riles -- Thursday, 22 April 2010, at 8:45 p.m.
            • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
              Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 22 April 2010, at 9:16 p.m.
            • Stick vs. mfic final game cube action
              Henrik Bukkjaer -- Monday, 26 April 2010, at 6:44 a.m.