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53P-61P-43 - Rollout

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Wednesday, 21 April 2010, at 9:56 p.m.

In Response To: 53P-61P-43? (mtuhtan)

After 31k trials, three candidate plays are still too close to call:

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 160
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 159
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b-B--D-B---dE---bbe----B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
to play 43

1.Rollout124/20 13/10eq: -0,003
Player:
Opponent:		 49,60% (G:15,40% B:0,99%)
50,40% (G:14,61% B:0,87%)		Conf: ± 0,005 (-0,008...+0,002)
Duration: 4 hours 35 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 24/20eq: -0,005 (-0,002)
Player:
Opponent:		 49,94% (G:13,49% B:0,79%)
50,06% (G:14,25% B:0,67%)		Conf: ± 0,004 (-0,009...-0,001)
Duration: 4 hours 27 minutes
3.Rollout124/21 13/9eq: -0,006 (-0,004)
Player:
Opponent:		 49,56% (G:15,38% B:0,91%)
50,45% (G:14,45% B:0,88%)		Conf: ± 0,005 (-0,011...-0,001)
Duration: 4 hours 24 minutes
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Search interval: Large

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13


In a couple of hours I will post rollout of a similar situation, but there we made 5pt instead of 3pt: 31P-61P-43

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