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53P-31P-32 - Rollout

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Thursday, 22 April 2010, at 8:21 p.m.

In Response To: 53P-31P-32? (mtuhtan)

Rollout with 20k trials confirms Neil's and John's ideas:

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 163
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 159
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b-B--D-B---eE---b-db---B-:0:0:1:23:0:0:3:0:10
to play 23

1.Rollout124/22 13/10eq: -0,157
Player:
Opponent:
46,07% (G:14,66% B:0,94%)
53,93% (G:16,88% B:1,00%)
Conf: ± 0,006 (-0,163...-0,151)
Duration: 7 hours 33 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 13/11eq: -0,169 (-0,012)
Player:
Opponent:
46,01% (G:14,11% B:0,88%)
53,99% (G:16,68% B:1,02%)
Conf: ± 0,006 (-0,175...-0,163)
Duration: 7 hours 55 minutes
3.Rollout224/22 24/21eq: -0,184 (-0,028)
Player:
Opponent:
45,89% (G:13,00% B:0,85%)
54,11% (G:16,86% B:0,82%)
Conf: ± 0,008 (-0,192...-0,176)
Duration: 4 hours 13 minutes
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Search interval: Large

2 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Search interval: Large

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13

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