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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 7 June 2007, at 10:00 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Wed. June 6th - Cube (Stick)

Slightly TG .. OTB most people won't take aggressively enough at this score, so I play on since almost no one will take, IMHO. But if I have reason to expect a take, I'll cube.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 4 (match to 12 points)

Move number 5: user on roll, cube decision?


1O2X2O3X2X2X '2X ' ' ' '

2X2X2O2O3O2O2O ' '1O ' '

Pip counts: gnubg 148, user 133
Position ID: 5jYDADZstxEAJg Match ID: UQmAAQAAIAAA

• user doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0228)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.9147(Money: +0.9459)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +1.0228
2.Double, take +1.2035 +0.1808
3.Double, pass +1.0000 -0.0228
Proper cube action:Too good to redouble, pass (11.2%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player user owns 2-cube0.79800.36000.0450-0.20200.05240.0027 +0.9147 +1.0228
Standard error0.00100.00150.0016-0.00100.00060.0003 0.0028 0.0043
Player gnubg owns 4-cube0.79850.35840.1482-0.20150.04800.0076 +1.5527 +1.2035
Standard error0.00120.00250.0040-0.00120.00070.0010 0.0065 0.0094
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3649 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062124096 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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