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31P-65R-xx

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 6 May 2010, at 6:21 a.m.

In Response To: 31P-65R-xx (mtuhtan)

By Snowie eval, the margin of the two top plays for 52 is .003, for 53 is .025, and for 54 is .027. Those are all smaller than the eval margin for 65, which is .036. From that admittedly narrow glimpse, it seemed to me that 53 and 54 might be worthy of inclusion.

It may not be necessary to roll out 53 or 54. If, for example, 52 clearly wins the rollout and XG+ said that anyway, and the XG+ evals say that 53 and 54 predict the same play but by an even bigger margin, you could just mention all three XG+ eval margins when you give the 52 rollout and let people make inferences from that.

Had you included 53 and 54 in the list, you might have the benefit of additional comments on diverse plays (split, down, run, point, hit) or reasons why someone might play one way with 54 but the other with 53, or whatever. OTOH, that has to be weighed against inundating the readers with too many questions. Having expressed various considerations, I am not trying to convince you of anything in particular; I believe that you have the best perspective on the approach and parameters of your excellent project.

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• 31P-65R-xx
  mtuhtan -- Wednesday, 5 May 2010, at 3:32 p.m.
  • 31P-65R-xx
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 5 May 2010, at 9:24 p.m.
  • 31P-65R-xx
    Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 5 May 2010, at 9:58 p.m.
  • 31P-65R-xx
    Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 5 May 2010, at 11:22 p.m.
    • 31P-65R-xx
      mtuhtan -- Thursday, 6 May 2010, at 5:26 a.m.
      • 31P-65R-xx
        Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 6 May 2010, at 6:21 a.m.
  • 31P-65R-21 - Rollout
    mtuhtan -- Friday, 7 May 2010, at 2:35 p.m.
  • 31P-65R-52 - Rollout
    mtuhtan -- Friday, 7 May 2010, at 2:36 p.m.
  • 31P-65R-xx
    mtuhtan -- Friday, 7 May 2010, at 2:37 p.m.