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Rollout: What's the plan?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 6 May 2010, at 2:55 p.m.

In Response To: What's the plan? (Max Urban)

Hitting appears to be a big mistake here. Note: GNU prefers a number of "shuffling" plays to hitting; I only bothered to roll out the two most plausible ones.

If we lift one of Blue's blots then GNU 2-ply thinks that hitting is much better than anything else, but evidently two blots in the home board is too many.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 1, Max 2 (match to 13 points)

gnubg	133
Max	122
Position ID: jPMuAANqth0AAw Match ID: cAmtARAAEAAA

• Max moves 9/6 4/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	9/6 4/2	+0.120
			0.551 0.058 0.001 - 0.449 0.054 0.002 +0.101 +0.120 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.007
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 851681642 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	9/4	+0.104 ( -0.016)
			0.545 0.058 0.002 - 0.455 0.056 0.002 +0.089 +0.104 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 851681642 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	20/15*	+0.043 ( -0.077)
			0.544 0.115 0.005 - 0.456 0.151 0.010 +0.034 +0.043 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.005 0.012
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 851681642 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• What's the plan?
  Max Urban -- Monday, 3 May 2010, at 11:24 a.m.
  • What's the plan?
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Monday, 3 May 2010, at 12:00 p.m.
  • What's the plan?
    misja -- Monday, 3 May 2010, at 12:42 p.m.
    • What's the plan?
      Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 3 May 2010, at 2:51 p.m.
  • What's the plan?
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 3 May 2010, at 2:22 p.m.
  • What's the plan?
    David Rockwell -- Monday, 3 May 2010, at 3:54 p.m.
  • What's the plan?
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 3 May 2010, at 6:50 p.m.
  • What's the plan?
    neilkaz -- Monday, 3 May 2010, at 7:48 p.m.
  • What's the plan?
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 3 May 2010, at 8:17 p.m.
  • Rollout: What's the plan?
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 6 May 2010, at 2:55 p.m.