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Is XG confidence confident?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Thursday, 6 May 2010, at 7:17 p.m.

In Response To: Is XG confidence confident? (Timothy Chow)

The intended meaning of 95% confidence is that if the two plays were actually equal then only 5% of the time would you see a difference as large as actually observed due to random fluctuation.

Rephrase, please. The 1k, 2k, 5k and 10k rollouts are all of one play.

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