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Lopsided Score

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Wednesday, 12 May 2010, at 4:37 a.m.

In Response To: Lopsided Score (Steve Mellen)

Don't know a MET for this long a match, so some guesswork is required. I imagine your 4-cube takepoint is at least 30% ATS and you can basically never redouble. How about gammons? Your g wins are almost meaningless, his are huge. If you win a single game, you'll be up 27-9 which must be > 99%. A single game loss makes it 23-13 which I think is about 88%. A g loss makes it 23-17 which is around 76%. So the gammon value is probably a little over 100%. How many gammon losses here? Quite a few, I would think. 9 numbers dbl hit while D2 and D3 PoH and every other entering number hits loose. Looks like > 30% gammon losses which raises your takepoint to over 60%. You definitely don't win this often so R/P looks correct to me.

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