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Rollout

Posted By: Steve Mellen
Date: Thursday, 13 May 2010, at 12:21 a.m.

In Response To: Lopsided Score (Steve Mellen)

Even with the huge lead, I can still use 6 points, so how bad could it be? Even though White is a bare favorite for money and it's not THAT gammonish, this is a recube and a huge pass. It's very hard to take a recube at a score like this if there's any significant amount of gammons, it turns out.

Thanks to Stick and John for their excellent and easy-to-follow analysis of this cube decision.

The score (after 16 games) is: Opponent 9, fnurt 23 (match to 29 points)

Move number 23: Opponent to play 32

Opponent	123
fnurt	108
Position ID: uO4dAATGXhMFQA Match ID: AYGpA5AAuAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.301	(Money: +0.076)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.000
2.	Double, take	+1.214	+0.214
3.	No double	+0.617	-0.383
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Opponent owns 2-cube 0.535 0.231 0.005 - 0.465 0.194 0.037 +0.301 +0.617 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.007 0.010 Player fnurt owns 4-cube 0.539 0.243 0.005 - 0.461 0.191 0.049 +1.212 +1.214 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.013 0.013
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 852193795 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Messages In This Thread

• Lopsided Score
  Steve Mellen -- Wednesday, 12 May 2010, at 3:55 a.m.
  • Lopsided Score
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 12 May 2010, at 4:37 a.m.
  • Lopsided Score
    Stick -- Wednesday, 12 May 2010, at 5:21 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Steve Mellen -- Thursday, 13 May 2010, at 12:21 a.m.