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Match Winning Chances per Elo formula

Posted By: Henrik Bukkjaer
Date: Friday, 14 May 2010, at 9:20 p.m.

In Response To: Match Winning Chances per Elo formula (Daniel Murphy)

It would be fun to compare these to the figures in Jake and Walt's book.

I have the book, but not here with me now. If I recall correct, it scales "better" with the match lenghts, so a x% edge in DMP becomes a little bigger in the long match, than the SQRT(MatchLength) portion of the FIBS ELO calculation above.

That would argue for maybe half a level extra, given the same spread.

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