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OLM Tu 05/18/10

Posted By: misja
Date: Tuesday, 18 May 2010, at 1:59 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Tu 05/18/10 (Jason Lee)

We can win if XG rolls a deuce twice or if it rolls an ace three times in a row; that's about 13%.
Or we can win by rolling a double, but 33 is not enough and probably not next turn either and of course white should not roll 33 or higher either.
I think that's about 12.5%.

That adds up to 25.5% but there's some overlap because XG could roll a deuce twice while we roll a high double.
Therefore my guess is that this is a small drop.

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