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BGonline.org Forums
US Open Conso Finals recube decision
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: US Open Conso Finals recube decision (neilkaz)
Date: Tuesday, 18 May 2010, at 9:43 p.m.
Does blonde have a take here? His basic 8-cube takepoint is approx 22%, gammons aren't very important for either side but they favor the trailer ATS by around 21%/4%, and the leader's 16-cube takepoint is his MWC at 2-8 to 11 (~17% I think). Adusting for g's and recube vig lowers the cubeless takepoint to around 18.5% or so. No doubt blonde easily wins this often given his 58 pip lead in the race and (currently) stronger board. Given that it's an easy take, should the leader still redouble? Generally only if there are lots of big mkt losers and I don't see anywhere near enough in this position. I'd wait and hope to find a more efficient cube down the road.
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