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BGonline.org Forums
OLM Tu 05/18/10
Posted By: Bob Koca In Response To: OLM Tu 05/18/10 (Jason Lee)
Date: Wednesday, 19 May 2010, at 12:38 a.m.
Our main win chance involves us getting 4's or better this roll or next. That is less than 1/6th chance and about 2/9 of time they get wiped out by opponent's good doubles. So about 7/54 which is about 13%. Opponent may roll 2's twice (about 10%) and those are almost wins with cube. But we already have count some of those as wins from our good doubles already so add about 8.7% up to close to 22% and there are other small vigs such as opponent getting 3 1's. Close but I don't think enough to take.
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